Hegelmann Litauen 3-0 FK Riteriai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 28 Jul 2025

📅28/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.03
Over 2.5
59%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.09
No
46%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-12.5pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.5pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
45%
-4.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
55%
+4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
44%
+10.6pp
46%
BTTS No
56%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Riteriai EU Bookmakers 14%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.12/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/2.11
+9% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
334 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Riteriai
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.05.2025 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 2-4 HT 2-2 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
29.03.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 HT 2-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LITA
07.10.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 2-3 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
30.07.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LITA
27.05.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 0-4 HT 0-2 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
09.04.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
3-0
AWAY FK Riteriai
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Riteriai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen cruised past FK Riteriai 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hegelmann Litauen as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Hegelmann Litauen had 52% of the ball to FK Riteriai's 48%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 1.00 for FK Riteriai.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Riteriai?

Hegelmann Litauen 3-0 FK Riteriai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 28/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Riteriai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 58%, draw 22%, FK Riteriai 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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