FA Siauliai 3-1 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 28 Jul 2025

📅28/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.33
Draw
29%
4.62
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
71%
-20.4pp
29%
Draw
18%
+10.8pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 14%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
2.36/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.20
+21% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-2 HT 1-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
08.03.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-2 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
09.11.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 3-2 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
18.08.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
18.06.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 2-2 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
20.04.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai
3-1
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai beat FK Dainava Alytus 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FA Siauliai as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FA Siauliai had 55% of the ball to FK Dainava Alytus's 45%, shots finished 17-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FA Siauliai and 1.33 for FK Dainava Alytus.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs FK Dainava Alytus?

FA Siauliai 3-1 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 28/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated a FA Siauliai win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 50%, draw 29%, FK Dainava Alytus 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FA Siauliai), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FA Siauliai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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