Inter Miami 3-1 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 28 Aug 2025

📅28/08/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
21%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.49
6+ Goals
10%
5.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.3
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
11%
4.74
X/2
6%
8.43
X/X
8%
6.33
2/1 EV+ ✓
17%
19.15
2/2
8%
5.52
2/X
7%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.15 — our 17% vs market 2.8%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
51%
+6.8pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.0pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-4.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.2pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 29%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
3.25/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+75% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
383 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 82%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.4 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Orlando City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.24 xG 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
423 Passes 344
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2025 Orlando City Orlando City 4-1 HT 1-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
19.05.2025 Inter Miami Inter Miami 0-3 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
16.05.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 0-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
03.03.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 5-0 HT 3-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
25.09.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 1-1 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
03.08.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-1 HT 1-1 Orlando City Orlando City CONLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
3-1
AWAY Orlando City
1.90 xG 1.21
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
482 Passes 333
89% Pass Accuracy 87%
34 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs Orlando City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami saw off Orlando City 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Inter Miami as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Inter Miami had 59% of the ball to Orlando City's 41%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.90 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Inter Miami and 1.50 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Orlando City?

Inter Miami 3-1 Orlando City in the Concacaf League Cup on 28/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 58%, draw 21%, Orlando City 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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