Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CD Tapatio Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Mexico - Primera A, 28 Aug 2026

📅28/08/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CD Tapatio
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.03.2026 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4-3 HT 3-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
04.10.2025 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-1 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
01.02.2025 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-3 HT 0-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
17.08.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 6-0 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
08.03.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-2 HT 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
01.08.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
PREVIEW Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CD Tapatio
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Alebrijes de Oaxaca edge the probabilities without dominating them — the sort of game that punishes overconfidence. Bookmakers are even firmer: 1.96 implies roughly 51%.

CD Tapatio have lost 4 of their last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alebrijes de Oaxaca have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Alebrijes de Oaxaca against 2.33 for CD Tapatio.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CD Tapatio Kick-off Time

Alebrijes de Oaxaca play CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 28/08/2026, kick-off 04:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CD Tapatio Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CD Tapatio is a Alebrijes de Oaxaca win at about 45% probability, priced 1.96 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Alebrijes de Oaxaca 45%, draw 28%, CD Tapatio 27%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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