Algarna 1-3 IFK Lulea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
15%
4.62
Away
60%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.68
Over 2.5
70%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.38
No
43%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
41%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.5pp
15%
Draw
19%
-3.3pp
60%
Away Win
63%
-3.4pp
30%
Under 2.5
24%
+6.8pp
70%
Over 2.5
76%
-6.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.7pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algarna EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Lulea EU Bookmakers 67%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.59/2.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.96
+19% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algarna
1W-0D-3L
AWAY IFK Lulea
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
08.06.2024 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea 2-1 HT 2-1 Algarna Algarna İSÇ4
02.09.2023 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea 6-0 HT 4-0 Algarna Algarna İSÇ4
06.05.2023 Algarna Algarna 2-3 HT 0-2 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea İSÇ4
30.04.2022 Algarna Algarna 1-0 HT 1-0 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Algarna vs IFK Lulea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Lulea beat Algarna 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had IFK Lulea as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, IFK Lulea led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Algarna and 2.75 for IFK Lulea.

What was the final score of Algarna vs IFK Lulea?

Algarna 1-3 IFK Lulea in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algarna vs IFK Lulea?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Lulea win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Algarna 25%, draw 15%, IFK Lulea 60%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Lulea), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IFK Lulea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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