IK Gauthiod 4-4 Ahlafors IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
46%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
23%
+9.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-9.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.7pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Gauthiod EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 59%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.37/2.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.84/1.34
-6% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -8%
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
275 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Gauthiod
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ahlafors IF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2024 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 1-0 HT 1-0 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
12.08.2022 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 2-0 HT 1-0 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
23.04.2022 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod 2-1 HT 0-1 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
20.11.2021 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod 1-2 HT 0-1 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
11.09.2021 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 1-2 HT 1-2 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
09.09.2020 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 1-1 HT 1-0 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IK Gauthiod vs Ahlafors IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Gauthiod and Ahlafors IF shared the points in a 4-4 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ahlafors IF at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ahlafors IF led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IK Gauthiod and 1.33 for Ahlafors IF.

What was the final score of IK Gauthiod vs Ahlafors IF?

IK Gauthiod 4-4 Ahlafors IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Gauthiod vs Ahlafors IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ahlafors IF win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split IK Gauthiod 32%, draw 22%, Ahlafors IF 46%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ahlafors IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ahlafors IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
28 Sep 2024
00:00 Kiruna FF vs Lucksta Analysis →
00:00 IFK Österaker vs FC Gute Analysis →
00:00 Algarna vs IFK Lulea Analysis →
14:00 Bodens BK vs Taftea Analysis →
15:00 Lidköpings FK vs Motala AIF FK Analysis →
15:00 IFK Kumla vs IFK Skövde Analysis →