IFK Österaker 1-0 FC Gute — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.17
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
58%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
24%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
28%
-6.6pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.5pp
58%
Away Win
47%
+11.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.3pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Österaker EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Gute EU Bookmakers 51%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -66% / -66%
0.98/2.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/3.70
-38% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -62%
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Österaker
4W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Gute
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
01.06.2024 FC Gute FC Gute 1-2 HT 1-2 IFK Österaker IFK Österaker İSÇ4
30.09.2023 FC Gute FC Gute 2-3 HT 0-0 IFK Österaker IFK Österaker İSÇ4
27.05.2023 IFK Österaker IFK Österaker 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Gute FC Gute İSÇ4
03.09.2022 FC Gute FC Gute 0-2 HT 0-0 IFK Österaker IFK Österaker İSÇ4
06.11.2021 IFK Österaker IFK Österaker 2-3 HT 2-2 FC Gute FC Gute İSÇ4
19.09.2021 FC Gute FC Gute 0-2 HT 0-0 IFK Österaker IFK Österaker İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Österaker vs FC Gute
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Österaker nicked a narrow win over FC Gute 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. FC Gute carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Österaker had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for IFK Österaker and 1.17 for FC Gute.

What was the final score of IFK Österaker vs FC Gute?

IFK Österaker 1-0 FC Gute in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Österaker vs FC Gute?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Gute win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split IFK Österaker 22%, draw 20%, FC Gute 58%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Gute) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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