28/09/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
Lidköpings FK vs Motala AIF FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
25%
Draw
24%
36%
Away Win
41%
48%
Under 2.5
40%
52%
Over 2.5
60%
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
42%
BTTS No
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lidköpings FK v Motala AIF FK — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lidköpings FK
EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY
Motala AIF FK
EU Bookmakers 45%
+13% /
+9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-14% /
-14%
1.89/1.37
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.82/1.51
+11%
/
+17%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-51%
/
+6%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
10
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
7
286 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
358 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.0
Yellow Cards
5.0
Lidköpings FK vs Motala AIF FK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Lidköpings FK
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Motala AIF FK
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
42%
Ball Possession
58%
3
Total Shots
8
2
Shots on Target
1
2
Corners
8
2
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Lidköpings FK vs Motala AIF FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lidköpings FK saw off Motala AIF FK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Lidköpings FK made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Lidköpings FK vs Motala AIF FK?
Lidköpings FK 2-0 Motala AIF FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lidköpings FK vs Motala AIF FK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lidköpings FK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lidköpings FK 39%, draw 25%, Motala AIF FK 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lidköpings FK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Lidköpings FK)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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