Frösö 2-2 Ytterhogdal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.48
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
57%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.98
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
7%
X/2
27%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
20%
+1.3pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.2pp
57%
Away Win
60%
-3.5pp
31%
Under 2.5
30%
+0.7pp
69%
Over 2.5
70%
-0.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.5pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frösö EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Ytterhogdal EU Bookmakers 64%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.49/3.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.23
+12% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
348 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frösö
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Ytterhogdal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
05.06.2024 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal 2-1 HT 1-0 Frösö Frösö İSÇ4
09.09.2023 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal 1-1 HT 0-0 Frösö Frösö İSÇ4
12.05.2023 Frösö Frösö 2-1 HT 0-1 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal İSÇ4
04.08.2021 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal 1-0 HT 1-0 Frösö Frösö İSÇ4
07.07.2021 Frösö Frösö 1-4 HT 0-1 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Frösö vs Ytterhogdal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frösö and Ytterhogdal shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ytterhogdal at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ytterhogdal led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Frösö and 1.80 for Ytterhogdal.

What was the final score of Frösö vs Ytterhogdal?

Frösö 2-2 Ytterhogdal in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frösö vs Ytterhogdal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ytterhogdal win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Frösö 21%, draw 22%, Ytterhogdal 57%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ytterhogdal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ytterhogdal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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