IFK Berga 0-2 Hassleholms IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.38
Over
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No Pick
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
43%
4-5
18%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+9.0pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.8pp
50%
Away Win
61%
-10.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.5pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Berga EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Hassleholms IF EU Bookmakers 66%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.86/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.50
+40% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +115%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Berga
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hassleholms IF
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Hassleholms IF Hassleholms IF 2-1 HT 1-0 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
02.09.2023 Hassleholms IF Hassleholms IF 6-0 HT 5-0 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
06.05.2023 IFK Berga IFK Berga 3-1 HT 1-1 Hassleholms IF Hassleholms IF İSÇ4
10.09.2022 IFK Berga IFK Berga 1-0 HT 0-0 Hassleholms IF Hassleholms IF İSÇ4
25.09.2021 Hassleholms IF Hassleholms IF 0-2 HT 0-1 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
27.06.2021 IFK Berga IFK Berga 1-1 HT 1-1 Hassleholms IF Hassleholms IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Berga vs Hassleholms IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hassleholms IF beat IFK Berga 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hassleholms IF as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Berga had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for IFK Berga and 1.67 for Hassleholms IF.

What was the final score of IFK Berga vs Hassleholms IF?

IFK Berga 0-2 Hassleholms IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Berga vs Hassleholms IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hassleholms IF win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split IFK Berga 27%, draw 22%, Hassleholms IF 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hassleholms IF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hassleholms IF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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