Ljungsbro 1-3 Atvidaberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
38%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
40%
4-5
25%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
25%
+10.0pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
38%
Away Win
53%
-14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ljungsbro EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Atvidaberg EU Bookmakers 57%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/1.79
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -31%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ljungsbro
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Atvidaberg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.06.2024 Atvidaberg Atvidaberg 1-1 HT 1-1 Ljungsbro Ljungsbro İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Ljungsbro vs Atvidaberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atvidaberg saw off Ljungsbro 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Atvidaberg found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (61%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Ljungsbro vs Atvidaberg?

Ljungsbro 1-3 Atvidaberg in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ljungsbro vs Atvidaberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atvidaberg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ljungsbro 35%, draw 27%, Atvidaberg 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atvidaberg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atvidaberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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