Simrishamn 2-2 Rappe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.29
Over Pick
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.5
No
52%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
38%
4-5
29%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
62%
-14.3pp
52%
BTTS No
38%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Simrishamn EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rappe EU Bookmakers 48%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
2.31/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.45
+47% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Simrishamn
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Rappe
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
26.05.2024 Rappe Rappe 1-2 HT 0-1 Simrishamn Simrishamn İSÇ4
15.10.2023 Rappe Rappe 2-2 HT 1-1 Simrishamn Simrishamn İSÇ4
18.06.2023 Simrishamn Simrishamn 2-2 HT 1-0 Rappe Rappe İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Simrishamn vs Rappe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Simrishamn and Rappe couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rappe at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Simrishamn had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Simrishamn and 1.67 for Rappe.

What was the final score of Simrishamn vs Rappe?

Simrishamn 2-2 Rappe in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Simrishamn vs Rappe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rappe win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Simrishamn 34%, draw 23%, Rappe 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Rappe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rappe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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