Varbergs GIF 1-1 Öckerö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.32
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
3.17
Over 2.5
71%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
-11.8pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+10.6pp
29%
Under 2.5
28%
+1.0pp
71%
Over 2.5
72%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Öckerö EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.54/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/2.00
-2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
407 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs GIF
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Öckerö
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.05.2024 Öckerö Öckerö 1-1 HT 1-0 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Varbergs GIF vs Öckerö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs GIF and Öckerö shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Varbergs GIF carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (71%) missed.

What was the final score of Varbergs GIF vs Öckerö?

Varbergs GIF 1-1 Öckerö in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs GIF vs Öckerö?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs GIF win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Varbergs GIF 59%, draw 18%, Öckerö 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Varbergs GIF), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varbergs GIF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
28 Sep 2024
00:00 Kiruna FF vs Lucksta Analysis →
00:00 IFK Österaker vs FC Gute Analysis →
00:00 Algarna vs IFK Lulea Analysis →
14:00 Bodens BK vs Taftea Analysis →
15:00 Lidköpings FK vs Motala AIF FK Analysis →
15:00 IFK Kumla vs IFK Skövde Analysis →