Cherno More Varna 0-0 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.59
Over 2.5
34%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.99
No
63%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
24%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.2pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.3pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
46%
-9.3pp
63%
BTTS No
54%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 36%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.26/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.35
+121% / +104% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
246 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cherno More Varna
3W-1D-1L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
24.02.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
26.08.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-1 HT 1-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
15.05.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-0 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
04.04.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-2 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BULK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cherno More Varna
0-0
AWAY CSKA Sofia
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cherno More Varna and CSKA Sofia played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Cherno More Varna had 45% of the ball to CSKA Sofia's 55%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cherno More Varna and 0.80 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia?

Cherno More Varna 0-0 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 38%, draw 32%, CSKA Sofia 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cherno More Varna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cherno More Varna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
28 Sep 2024
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