Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 Levski Krumovgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.4pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.00/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.70
-8% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +56%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2024 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 4-1 HT 3-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
02.03.2024 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 3-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
03.09.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-0 HT 2-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0-2
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Levski Krumovgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Krumovgrad beat Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Plovdiv at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 62% of the ball to Levski Krumovgrad's 38%, shots finished 14-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Levski Krumovgrad led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 2.33 for Levski Krumovgrad.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Levski Krumovgrad?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 Levski Krumovgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Levski Krumovgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 45%, draw 24%, Levski Krumovgrad 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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28 Sep 2024
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