Imbabura vs El Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Imbabura v El Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Imbabura vs El Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-1
El Nacional
EKV2
5-0
HT 1-0
Imbabura
EKV2
2-1
HT 2-0
El Nacional
EKV2
2-4
HT 2-2
Imbabura
EKV2
Imbabura 1-0 El Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Imbabura nicked a narrow win over El Nacional 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Imbabura as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Imbabura had 61% of the ball to El Nacional's 39%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.74 to 0.35.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Imbabura had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Imbabura and 2.40 for El Nacional.
What was the final score of Imbabura vs El Nacional?
Imbabura 1-0 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Premier on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Imbabura vs El Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Imbabura win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Imbabura 41%, draw 26%, El Nacional 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Imbabura), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.