Harland & Wolff Welders 2-1 Newry City AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

Harland & Wolff Welders
2-1
Newry City AFC
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Harland & Wolff Welders vs Newry City AFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.64
Draw
33%
4.08
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.63
Over 2.5
49%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
6.12
2-3 Goals
35%
2.08
4-5 Goals
23%
2.56
6+ Goals
14%
5.62
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.12 — our 28% vs market 12.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
57%
-15.4pp
33%
Draw
21%
+11.3pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
34%
+16.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
66%
-16.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.0pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Harland & Wolff Welders v Newry City AFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harland & Wolff Welders EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+29% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards –

Harland & Wolff Welders vs Newry City AFC Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harland & Wolff Welders
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Newry City AFC
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
03.10.2023 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 1-2 HT 0-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KILK
07.01.2023 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-2 HT 1-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRK
14.01.2022 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-2 HT 0-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
24.01.2020 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
15.11.2019 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-2 HT 0-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
POST-MATCH Harland & Wolff Welders vs Newry City AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harland & Wolff Welders edged past Newry City AFC 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Harland & Wolff Welders as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Harland & Wolff Welders had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Harland & Wolff Welders and 1.00 for Newry City AFC.

What was the final score of Harland & Wolff Welders vs Newry City AFC?

Harland & Wolff Welders 2-1 Newry City AFC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harland & Wolff Welders vs Newry City AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harland & Wolff Welders win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Harland & Wolff Welders 42%, draw 33%, Newry City AFC 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders) ✗ Under 2.5
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