Djerv 3-4 Ardal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 28 Sep 2024

Djerv
3-4 HT 3-2
Ardal
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 4-1 ✗
Norway - 3rd Division – 2024

Djerv vs Ardal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
17%
7.78
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
25%
4.0
Over 2.5
75%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.35
No
42%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
28%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
80%
-14.9pp
17%
Draw
10%
+6.9pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.9pp
25%
Under 2.5
22%
+3.1pp
75%
Over 2.5
78%
-3.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
70%
-11.9pp
42%
BTTS No
30%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Djerv v Ardal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Djerv EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Ardal EU Bookmakers 12%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
4.15/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/3.25
+23% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
371 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Djerv vs Ardal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ardal squeezed past Djerv 4-3 away from home. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Djerv carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (75%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Djerv vs Ardal?

Djerv 3-4 Ardal in the Norway - 3rd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Djerv vs Ardal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Djerv win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Djerv 66%, draw 17%, Ardal 17%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Djerv) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Djerv) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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