Pors Grenland 1-0 Vindbjart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.8pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.5pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pors Grenland EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Vindbjart EU Bookmakers 20%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.65/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.83
-36% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +40%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pors Grenland
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Vindbjart
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
22 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
04.05.2024 Vindbjart Vindbjart 1-2 HT 1-2 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland NOR4
19.08.2023 Vindbjart Vindbjart 2-4 HT 2-3 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland NOR4
29.05.2023 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland 2-1 HT 1-1 Vindbjart Vindbjart NOR4
03.09.2022 Vindbjart Vindbjart 0-3 HT 0-2 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland NOR4
11.06.2022 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland 4-1 HT 1-0 Vindbjart Vindbjart NOR4
POST-MATCH Pors Grenland vs Vindbjart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pors Grenland squeezed past Vindbjart 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pors Grenland as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pors Grenland had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Pors Grenland and 1.00 for Vindbjart.

What was the final score of Pors Grenland vs Vindbjart?

Pors Grenland 1-0 Vindbjart in the Norway - 3rd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pors Grenland vs Vindbjart?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pors Grenland win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Pors Grenland 53%, draw 28%, Vindbjart 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pors Grenland) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pors Grenland)
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