Tiller 2-2 Lilleström II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
17%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
3.94
Over 2.5
73%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.32
No
37%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
15%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
62%
+1.1pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.4pp
17%
Away Win
19%
-2.4pp
27%
Under 2.5
22%
+5.4pp
73%
Over 2.5
78%
-5.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
72%
-8.1pp
37%
BTTS No
28%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiller EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström II EU Bookmakers 23%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.68/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/2.81
-36% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
449 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tiller
2-2
AWAY Lilleström II
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tiller vs Lilleström II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tiller and Lilleström II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tiller at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Tiller had 46% of the ball to Lilleström II's 54%, shots finished 18-13.

What was the final score of Tiller vs Lilleström II?

Tiller 2-2 Lilleström II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiller vs Lilleström II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tiller win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Tiller 63%, draw 20%, Lilleström II 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tiller) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tiller) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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