28/09/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Ulfstind vs Harstad Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
4%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
28%
23%
Draw
21%
33%
Away Win
51%
70%
BTTS Yes
74%
30%
BTTS No
26%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ulfstind v Harstad — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ulfstind
EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
Harstad
EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+13% /
+13%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+37%
/
+14%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
12
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
7
345 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
375 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
Ulfstind vs Harstad Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Ulfstind
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Harstad
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Ulfstind vs Harstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ulfstind and Harstad couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Ulfstind at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (70%) landed while over 2.5 goals (67%) missed.
What was the final score of Ulfstind vs Harstad?
Ulfstind 1-1 Harstad in the Norway - 3rd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ulfstind vs Harstad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ulfstind win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ulfstind 44%, draw 23%, Harstad 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ulfstind), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Ulfstind)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
28 Sep 2024