Oppsal 5-0 Flint — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 28 Sep 2024

Oppsal
5-0 HT 5-0
Flint
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.96
Over
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.35
No
41%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1
18%
7.27
2-3
42%
2.22
4-5
26%
2.44
6+
14%
4.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.7pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
70%
-11.2pp
41%
BTTS No
30%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oppsal EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Flint EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +64% / +64%
1.44/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.41/1.00
-33% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / +110%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
379 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oppsal
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Flint
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.06.2024 Flint Flint 3-1 HT 2-1 Oppsal Oppsal NOR4
30.10.2021 Flint Flint 1-2 HT 0-2 Oppsal Oppsal NOR4
POST-MATCH Oppsal vs Flint
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oppsal cruised past Flint 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Oppsal as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Oppsal and 2.00 for Flint.

What was the final score of Oppsal vs Flint?

Oppsal 5-0 Flint in the Norway - 3rd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oppsal vs Flint?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oppsal win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Oppsal 45%, draw 22%, Flint 33%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oppsal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oppsal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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