Stromsgodset II 4-2 Orkla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
32%
3.94
Over Pick
68%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.32
No
43%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
34%
4-5
35%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
64%
-4.5pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.3pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.2pp
32%
Under 2.5
22%
+10.0pp
68%
Over 2.5
78%
-10.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
72%
-14.9pp
43%
BTTS No
28%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset II EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Orkla EU Bookmakers 20%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
4.29/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/2.01
+67% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
391 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stromsgodset II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Orkla
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
28 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 Orkla Orkla 2-3 HT 1-1 Stromsgodset II Stromsgodset II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset II
4-2
AWAY Orkla
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset II vs Orkla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset II got the better of Orkla 4-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stromsgodset II as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Stromsgodset II had 66% of the ball to Orkla's 34%, shots finished 19-7.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset II vs Orkla?

Stromsgodset II 4-2 Orkla in the Norway - 3rd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset II vs Orkla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stromsgodset II win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset II 59%, draw 22%, Orkla 19%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stromsgodset II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stromsgodset II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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