FC Trollhattan 2-1 AFC Malmö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Trollhattan EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.42/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.69
-9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Trollhattan
3W-2D-0L
AWAY AFC Malmö
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2025 AFC Malmö 3-3 HT 1-2 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan İSÇ3
17.08.2024 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan 3-2 HT 2-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
19.05.2024 AFC Malmö 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan İSÇ3
07.10.2023 AFC Malmö 2-2 HT 2-2 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan İSÇ3
21.05.2023 FC Trollhattan FC Trollhattan 3-1 HT 2-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Trollhattan
2-1
AWAY AFC Malmö
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Trollhattan vs AFC Malmö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Trollhattan squeezed past AFC Malmö 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and on the day FC Trollhattan made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, FC Trollhattan had 47% of the ball to AFC Malmö's 53%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FC Trollhattan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for FC Trollhattan and 1.60 for AFC Malmö.

What was the final score of FC Trollhattan vs AFC Malmö?

FC Trollhattan 2-1 AFC Malmö in the Sweden - 1st Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Trollhattan vs AFC Malmö?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Trollhattan 38%, draw 23%, AFC Malmö 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Malmö), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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