Brommapojkarna 0-1 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.0
Over Pick
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.77
2-3
37%
1.85
4-5
24%
3.28
6+
10%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.95
1/2
8%
23.4
1/X
10%
13.35
X/1
9%
7.09
X/2
21%
4.94
X/X
7%
5.01
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
19%
2.84
2/X
5%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.0 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.4pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+2.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 49%
-14% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.38/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.21
-28% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 82%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
24.9 Crosses 18.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brommapojkarna
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mjallby
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.22 xG 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
338 Passes 368
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2025 Mjallby Mjallby 1-0 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
21.09.2024 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
04.05.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
05.11.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 1-2 HT 0-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
24.04.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-0 HT 1-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
22.09.2019 Mjallby Mjallby 0-2 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brommapojkarna
0-1
AWAY Mjallby
0.49 xG 1.49
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
325 Passes 416
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby nicked a narrow win over Brommapojkarna 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mjallby as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Brommapojkarna had 45% of the ball to Mjallby's 55%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.49 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brommapojkarna had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brommapojkarna and 0.50 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby?

Brommapojkarna 0-1 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Brommapojkarna 31%, draw 22%, Mjallby 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby)
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