AIK 1-1 GAIS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 28 Sep 2025

AIK
1-1 HT 0-1
GAIS
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.62
Over
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.57
2-3
40%
1.8
4-5
21%
4.7
6+
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.22
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.9
X/1
13%
4.75
X/2
13%
6.38
X/X
10%
4.01
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
11%
5.06
2/X
9%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AIK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY GAIS EU Bookmakers 32%
+17% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.90/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.07
+24% / +141% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
19.4 Crosses 21.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AIK
4W-0D-2L
AWAY GAIS
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.13 xG 0.91
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
408 Passes 264
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
31.03.2025 GAIS GAIS 0-1 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
29.07.2024 AIK AIK 0-1 HT 0-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
22.07.2024 GAIS GAIS 2-0 HT 1-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
19.02.2017 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
26.08.2012 GAIS GAIS 0-1 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
24.05.2012 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AIK
1-1
AWAY GAIS
1.03 xG 1.26
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
188 Passes 419
64% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AIK vs GAIS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK and GAIS couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was AIK at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AIK had 37% of the ball to GAIS's 63%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.03 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for AIK and 0.50 for GAIS.

What was the final score of AIK vs GAIS?

AIK 1-1 GAIS in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AIK vs GAIS?

Before kick-off our model rated a AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AIK 43%, draw 28%, GAIS 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AIK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AIK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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