GAIS 0-1 AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 31 Mar 2025

GAIS
0-1 HT 0-0
AIK
📅31/03/2025 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.32
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
5.54
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
3.96
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
5.34
X/2
11%
5.77
X/X
20%
3.63
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
17%
4.46
2/X
4%
14.25
Value flag · X/1 at 5.34 — our 23% vs market 14.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY AIK EU Bookmakers 36%
+20% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.52/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.27
+41% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
18.7 Crosses 19.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GAIS
2W-0D-4L
AWAY AIK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.76 xG 1.29
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
238 Passes 467
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.07.2024 AIK AIK 0-1 HT 0-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
22.07.2024 GAIS GAIS 2-0 HT 1-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
19.02.2017 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
26.08.2012 GAIS GAIS 0-1 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
24.05.2012 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
01.10.2011 AIK AIK 2-1 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
0-1
AWAY AIK
1.21 xG 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
316 Passes 289
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH GAIS vs AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK edged past GAIS 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day AIK made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, GAIS had 52% of the ball to AIK's 48%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.21 to 0.80 — the balance of chances actually favoured GAIS.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for GAIS and 0.83 for AIK.

What was the final score of GAIS vs AIK?

GAIS 0-1 AIK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a GAIS win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split GAIS 35%, draw 30%, AIK 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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