IFK Varnamo 1-2 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 31 Mar 2025

IFK Varnamo
1-2 HT 0-0
IK Sirius
📅31/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

IFK Varnamo vs IK Sirius Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.12
2-3 Goals
35%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.93
6+ Goals
11%
17.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 34% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.16
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
15%
5.02
X/2
11%
6.69
X/X
10%
4.48
2/1
5%
27.5
2/2
15%
4.91
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.2pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IFK Varnamo v IK Sirius — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 33%
-13% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
1.19/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.33
-37% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
22.0 Crosses 18.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

IFK Varnamo vs IK Sirius Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY IK Sirius
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.02 xG 1.58
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
388 Passes 390
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.08.2024 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-4 HT 0-2 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
20.04.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-1 HT 0-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
25.09.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-1 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
04.06.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-0 HT 2-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
10.09.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-3 HT 0-2 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
11.04.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-0 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ

IFK Varnamo 1-2 IK Sirius — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Varnamo
1-2
AWAY IK Sirius
1.61 xG 1.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
358 Passes 377
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Sirius nicked a narrow win over IFK Varnamo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Varnamo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IFK Varnamo had 50% of the ball to IK Sirius's 50%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.61 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Sirius led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IFK Varnamo and 1.50 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs IK Sirius?

IFK Varnamo 1-2 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Varnamo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 44%, draw 24%, IK Sirius 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IFK Varnamo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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