Valladolid 0-1 Cultural Leonesa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
14%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.6
6+ Goals
11%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.92
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.6
X/1
25%
3.83
X/2
4%
11.6
X/X
9%
5.29
2/1
9%
24.3
2/2
5%
10.15
2/X
7%
18.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
61%
+2.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
14%
Away Win
16%
-2.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valladolid EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.57/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.72
+11% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -41%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
24.6 Crosses 9.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valladolid
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Cultural Leonesa
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
4.00 xG 0.48
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
253 Passes 342
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.02.2018 Valladolid Valladolid 3-2 HT 2-2 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS2
21.09.2017 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 0-4 HT 0-1 Valladolid Valladolid İSPK
10.09.2017 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 4-4 HT 1-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valladolid
0-1
AWAY Cultural Leonesa
1.53 xG 0.51
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
443 Passes 153
82% Pass Accuracy 62%
32 Box Touches 9
34 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valladolid vs Cultural Leonesa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural Leonesa nicked a narrow win over Valladolid 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Valladolid carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Valladolid had 69% of the ball to Cultural Leonesa's 31%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.53 to 0.51 — on chances, Valladolid could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Valladolid had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Valladolid and 2.00 for Cultural Leonesa.

What was the final score of Valladolid vs Cultural Leonesa?

Valladolid 0-1 Cultural Leonesa in the Spain - 2nd Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valladolid vs Cultural Leonesa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valladolid win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Valladolid 64%, draw 22%, Cultural Leonesa 14%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valladolid) ✗ Over 2.5
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