Huesca 0-1 Granada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.56
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.41
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
17%
4.72
X/2
11%
6.27
X/X
14%
3.53
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
11%
5.26
2/X
9%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Huesca win — 42%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huesca EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.27/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.16
+4% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.8 Crosses 18.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huesca
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Granada
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.43 xG 0.80
44% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
242 Passes 312
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Huesca Huesca 1-1 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS2
30.08.2024 Granada Granada 1-3 HT 0-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
19.02.2023 Huesca Huesca 1-1 HT 1-1 Granada Granada İS2
02.10.2022 Granada Granada 0-0 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
21.02.2021 Huesca Huesca 3-2 HT 3-1 Granada Granada İS1
06.12.2020 Granada Granada 3-3 HT 1-1 Huesca Huesca İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huesca
0-1
AWAY Granada
1.76 xG 0.61
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 2
380 Passes 226
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 10
38 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Huesca vs Granada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada nicked a narrow win over Huesca 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Huesca at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Huesca had 61% of the ball to Granada's 39%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.76 to 0.61 — the balance of chances actually favoured Huesca.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Huesca had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Huesca and 1.33 for Granada.

What was the final score of Huesca vs Granada?

Huesca 0-1 Granada in the Spain - 2nd Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huesca vs Granada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huesca win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Huesca 42%, draw 29%, Granada 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Huesca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Huesca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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