Fuenlabrada 5-0 Rayo Vallecano II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.95
Over 2.5
59%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuenlabrada EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Vallecano II EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -33%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
414 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fuenlabrada
5-0
AWAY Rayo Vallecano II
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Vallecano II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuenlabrada swept aside Rayo Vallecano II 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fuenlabrada as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fuenlabrada had 49% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano II's 51%, shots finished 13-4.

What was the final score of Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Vallecano II?

Fuenlabrada 5-0 Rayo Vallecano II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Vallecano II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fuenlabrada win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Fuenlabrada 50%, draw 23%, Rayo Vallecano II 26%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fuenlabrada), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fuenlabrada) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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