Tenerife II 1-1 Conquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.99
No
43%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+8.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
46%
+10.5pp
43%
BTTS No
54%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife II EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Conquense EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.48/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.22
+5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife II
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Conquense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2025 Tenerife II Tenerife II 2-0 HT 0-0 Conquense Conquense İS4
08.09.2024 Conquense Conquense 1-1 HT 1-0 Tenerife II Tenerife II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife II
1-1
AWAY Conquense
67% Ball Possession 33%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tenerife II vs Conquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife II and Conquense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tenerife II at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tenerife II had 67% of the ball to Conquense's 33%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tenerife II had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tenerife II and 0.50 for Conquense.

What was the final score of Tenerife II vs Conquense?

Tenerife II 1-1 Conquense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife II vs Conquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tenerife II 48%, draw 30%, Conquense 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tenerife II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tenerife II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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