Intercity Alicante 3-2 Las Palmas II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Palmas II EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.78/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.91
+6% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -24%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
464 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Intercity Alicante
3-2
AWAY Las Palmas II
42% Ball Possession 58%
21 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Intercity Alicante vs Las Palmas II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Intercity Alicante nicked a narrow win over Las Palmas II 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Intercity Alicante as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Intercity Alicante had 42% of the ball to Las Palmas II's 58%, shots finished 21-6.

What was the final score of Intercity Alicante vs Las Palmas II?

Intercity Alicante 3-2 Las Palmas II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Intercity Alicante vs Las Palmas II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Intercity Alicante win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Intercity Alicante 53%, draw 25%, Las Palmas II 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Intercity Alicante) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Intercity Alicante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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