La Union Atletico 1-0 Melilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Melilla EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -10%
1.26/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.15
-19% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Union Atletico
1-0
AWAY Melilla
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH La Union Atletico vs Melilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Union Atletico squeezed past Melilla 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had La Union Atletico as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, La Union Atletico had 54% of the ball to Melilla's 46%, shots finished 15-3.

What was the final score of La Union Atletico vs Melilla?

La Union Atletico 1-0 Melilla in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Union Atletico vs Melilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Union Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split La Union Atletico 54%, draw 25%, Melilla 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Union Atletico), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (La Union Atletico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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