Rayo Cantabria 2-3 RC Deportivo Fabril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.86
Over 2.5
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-2.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 50%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.13/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+19% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
243 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Cantabria
2W-1D-1L
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.03.2025 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril 0-1 HT 0-0 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
26.10.2024 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 1-2 HT 0-1 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril İS4
21.01.2024 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 1-1 HT 1-1 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril İS4
10.09.2023 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril 1-3 HT 1-2 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Cantabria
2-3
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 5
7 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rayo Cantabria vs RC Deportivo Fabril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Deportivo Fabril nicked a narrow win over Rayo Cantabria 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had RC Deportivo Fabril as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rayo Cantabria had 34% of the ball to RC Deportivo Fabril's 66%, shots finished 5-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rayo Cantabria had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rayo Cantabria and 1.00 for RC Deportivo Fabril.

What was the final score of Rayo Cantabria vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Rayo Cantabria 2-3 RC Deportivo Fabril in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Cantabria vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Before kick-off our model rated an RC Deportivo Fabril win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rayo Cantabria 29%, draw 26%, RC Deportivo Fabril 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RC Deportivo Fabril), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RC Deportivo Fabril) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
28 Sep 2025
12:30 La Union Atletico vs Melilla Analysis →
13:00 RSD Alcala vs Getafe II Analysis →
13:00 Intercity Alicante vs Las Palmas II Analysis →
13:00 Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Vallecano II Analysis →
13:00 Socuellamos vs Orihuela Analysis →
13:00 Tenerife II vs Conquense Analysis →