RC Deportivo Fabril 0-1 Rayo Cantabria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 27%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +16%
0.73/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.17
-48% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RC Deportivo Fabril
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Rayo Cantabria
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 1-2 HT 0-1 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril İS4
21.01.2024 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 1-1 HT 1-1 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril İS4
10.09.2023 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril 1-3 HT 1-2 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RC Deportivo Fabril
0-1
AWAY Rayo Cantabria
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH RC Deportivo Fabril vs Rayo Cantabria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Cantabria nicked a narrow win over RC Deportivo Fabril 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was RC Deportivo Fabril at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, RC Deportivo Fabril had 58% of the ball to Rayo Cantabria's 42%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for RC Deportivo Fabril and 1.67 for Rayo Cantabria.

What was the final score of RC Deportivo Fabril vs Rayo Cantabria?

RC Deportivo Fabril 0-1 Rayo Cantabria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RC Deportivo Fabril vs Rayo Cantabria?

Before kick-off our model rated a RC Deportivo Fabril win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split RC Deportivo Fabril 42%, draw 27%, Rayo Cantabria 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (RC Deportivo Fabril) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RC Deportivo Fabril) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
9 Mar 2025
13:00 CD Guadalajara vs Union Sur Yaiza Analysis →
13:30 Getafe II vs Navalcarnero Analysis →
14:00 Cacereno vs Union Adarve Analysis →
14:00 Colonia Moscardo vs Illescas Analysis →
14:00 Mostoles vs CD Coria Analysis →
14:00 SS Reyes vs Tenerife II Analysis →