A. Bilbao (K) 1-1 Sevilla (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.8
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
52%
-18.2pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.7pp
33%
Away Win
23%
+10.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME A. Bilbao (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.23/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.31
+24% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
18.7 Crosses 14.4
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME A. Bilbao (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Sevilla (K)
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.49 xG 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
385 Passes 319
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 A. Bilbao (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
15.12.2024 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) 2-5 HT 1-3 A. Bilbao (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
16.06.2024 A. Bilbao (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME A. Bilbao (K)
1-1
AWAY Sevilla (K)
1.33 xG 0.91
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
315 Passes 168
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH A. Bilbao (K) vs Sevilla (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

A. Bilbao (K) and Sevilla (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, A. Bilbao (K) had 60% of the ball to Sevilla (K)'s 40%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.33 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, A. Bilbao (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for A. Bilbao (K) and 1.33 for Sevilla (K).

What was the final score of A. Bilbao (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

A. Bilbao (K) 1-1 Sevilla (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for A. Bilbao (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a A. Bilbao (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split A. Bilbao (K) 33%, draw 33%, Sevilla (K) 33%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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