Freiburg 1-1 Hoffenheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 28 Sep 2025

Freiburg
1 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Hoffenheim
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Freiburg vs Hoffenheim Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.95
Over
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.48
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
23%
3.24
6+
6%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.15
1/2
2%
31.0
1/X
6%
11.9
X/1
15%
5.34
X/2
11%
6.75
X/X
17%
4.62
2/1
3%
25.0
2/2
17%
4.56
2/X
6%
12.35
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Freiburg v Hoffenheim — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Freiburg The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim The Market 34%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.50 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.56
1.18 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.40
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

Freiburg vs Hoffenheim Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Hoffenheim
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.55 xG 1.29
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
345 Passes 362
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.04.2025 Freiburg Freiburg 3-2 HT 2-2 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
08.12.2024 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-1 HT 0-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
20.01.2024 Freiburg Freiburg 3-2 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
19.08.2023 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-2 HT 0-2 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
12.03.2023 Freiburg Freiburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
18.09.2022 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 0-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL1

Freiburg 1-1 Hoffenheim — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg
1 - 1
AWAY Hoffenheim
1.37 xG 2.54
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
205 Passes 310
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Freiburg vs Hoffenheim
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Freiburg and Hoffenheim couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

The preview numbers (40% / 29% / 31%) promised nothing between these sides, and the point apiece bears that out. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Hoffenheim saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 1.37 to 2.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Freiburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Freiburg against 1.17 for Hoffenheim.

Freiburg vs Hoffenheim Result & Final Score

Freiburg 1 - 1 Hoffenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Freiburg vs Hoffenheim Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Freiburg 40%, draw 29%, Hoffenheim 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Freiburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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