Freiburg vs Hoffenheim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Freiburg v Hoffenheim — Team-Based Signals
Freiburg vs Hoffenheim Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-2
Freiburg
AL1
2-1
HT 1-0
Hoffenheim
AL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Freiburg
AL1
3-4
HT 1-1
Freiburg
AL1
Freiburg 3-2 Hoffenheim — Actual Match Statistics
Freiburg squeezed past Hoffenheim 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Freiburg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Freiburg had 39% of the ball to Hoffenheim's 61%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 1.29 to 1.68.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Freiburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Freiburg and 1.33 for Hoffenheim.
What was the final score of Freiburg vs Hoffenheim?
Freiburg 3-2 Hoffenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Freiburg vs Hoffenheim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Freiburg 44%, draw 28%, Hoffenheim 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.