Werder Bremen 1-0 Bochum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.73
6+ Goals
14%
7.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.01
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.5
X/1
25%
4.39
X/2
7%
10.7
X/X
13%
6.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.8
2/2
9%
7.76
2/X
5%
16.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.8 — our 10% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-7.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.2pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.8pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bochum EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -16%
1.57/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.94
-7% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -25%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
19.8 Crosses 18.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Bochum
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.56 xG 1.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 Passes 286
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Bochum Bochum 0-1 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
18.05.2024 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 4-1 HT 1-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
14.01.2024 Bochum Bochum 1-1 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
25.02.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-0 HT 2-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
03.09.2022 Bochum Bochum 0-2 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
20.03.2010 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-2 HT 0-1 Bochum Bochum AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen
1-0
AWAY Bochum
1.81 xG 0.69
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 7
281 Passes 285
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen vs Bochum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen nicked a narrow win over Bochum 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Werder Bremen as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Werder Bremen had 48% of the ball to Bochum's 52%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.81 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Werder Bremen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Werder Bremen and 0.67 for Bochum.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs Bochum?

Werder Bremen 1-0 Bochum in the Germany - Bundesliga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen vs Bochum?

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen 51%, draw 27%, Bochum 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Werder Bremen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Werder Bremen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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