Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mainz 05 v Wolfsburg — Team-Based Signals
Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 3-0
Mainz 05
AL1
0-3
HT 0-1
Wolfsburg
AL1
5-0
HT 5-0
Mainz 05
AL1
Mainz 05 2-2 Wolfsburg — Actual Match Statistics
Mainz 05 and Wolfsburg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Mainz 05 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Mainz 05 had 52% of the ball to Wolfsburg's 48%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 2.75 to 1.83.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mainz 05 and 2.83 for Wolfsburg.
What was the final score of Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg?
Mainz 05 2-2 Wolfsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 41%, draw 26%, Wolfsburg 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mainz 05) went the other way.