Heidenheim 0-4 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
6.35
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
56%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
3.14
Over 2.5
56%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
7.67
2-3 Goals
37%
2.31
4-5 Goals
29%
2.38
6+ Goals
12%
4.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
13.75
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
17.8
1/X
7%
22.45
X/1
8%
18.7
X/2
15%
4.21
X/X
9%
9.99
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
30%
1.48
2/X
7%
19.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 17.8 — our 10% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
13%
+9.7pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.6pp
56%
Away Win
71%
-15.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
28%
+15.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
72%
-15.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidenheim EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -3%
1.01/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/1.02
-4% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -19%
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
246 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 499 · 84%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.6
17.6 Crosses 20.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidenheim
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Bayern Münih
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 3.75
1.44 xG 2.66
28% Ball Possession 72%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
203 Passes 696
72% Pass Accuracy 89%
14 Box Touches 40
9 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 4-2 HT 1-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
06.04.2024 Heidenheim Heidenheim 3-2 HT 0-2 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
11.11.2023 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 4-2 HT 2-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
03.04.2019 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 5-4 HT 1-2 Heidenheim Heidenheim AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heidenheim
0-4
AWAY Bayern Münih
0.58 xG 3.22
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 4
278 Passes 711
82% Pass Accuracy 93%
8 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Heidenheim vs Bayern Münih
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih cruised past Heidenheim 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Heidenheim had 32% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 68%, shots finished 4-18, expected goals 0.58 to 3.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Heidenheim and 3.75 for Bayern Münih.

What was the final score of Heidenheim vs Bayern Münih?

Heidenheim 0-4 Bayern Münih in the Germany - Bundesliga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidenheim vs Bayern Münih?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 22%, draw 22%, Bayern Münih 56%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL1 More Germany - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2025
16:30 Werder Bremen vs Bochum Analysis →
16:30 Freiburg vs Hoffenheim Analysis →
16:30 Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg Analysis →
16:30 RB Leipzig vs Holstein Kiel Analysis →
19:30 Union Berlin vs Stuttgart Analysis →