Chacarita Juniors 1-1 Gimnasia Mendoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
32%
2.7
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.7pp
32%
Draw
33%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.4pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 42%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
0.99/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.77
+5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chacarita Juniors
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 0-0 HT 0-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
03.09.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 HT 1-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
11.09.2021 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-1 HT 1-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
03.05.2021 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 0-4 HT 0-2 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
22.10.2019 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
25.07.2015 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Chacarita Juniors vs Gimnasia Mendoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chacarita Juniors and Gimnasia Mendoza shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 32% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chacarita Juniors and 1.17 for Gimnasia Mendoza.

What was the final score of Chacarita Juniors vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Chacarita Juniors 1-1 Gimnasia Mendoza in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chacarita Juniors vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chacarita Juniors 31%, draw 32%, Gimnasia Mendoza 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
28 Sep 2025
01:00 Tristan Suarez vs Racing Cordoba Analysis →
03:00 Deportivo Moron vs Club Atletico Mitre Analysis →
21:30 Club Atletico Guemes vs San Miguel Analysis →
21:30 Deportivo Madryn vs Arsenal Sarandi Analysis →
21:30 Los Andes vs Ferro Carril Oeste Analysis →
21:30 Alvarado vs All Boys Analysis →