Deportivo Madryn 2-1 Arsenal Sarandi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
17%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.51
Over 2.5
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
49%
+6.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
17%
Away Win
22%
-4.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.9pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
0.99/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.39
-22% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
297 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Madryn
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.05.2025 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Madryn vs Arsenal Sarandi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Madryn nicked a narrow win over Arsenal Sarandi 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Madryn as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Deportivo Madryn vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Deportivo Madryn 2-1 Arsenal Sarandi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Madryn vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Madryn win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Madryn 56%, draw 27%, Arsenal Sarandi 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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