Club Atletico Guemes 1-0 San Miguel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.53
No
65%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
23%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.2pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.6pp
35%
BTTS Yes
36%
-0.9pp
65%
BTTS No
64%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY San Miguel EU Bookmakers 23%
-10% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.21/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.86
-4% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Atletico Guemes
1W-1D-1L
AWAY San Miguel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
24.05.2025 San Miguel San Miguel 1-1 HT 0-1 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
21.09.2024 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 2-0 HT 2-0 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
04.05.2024 San Miguel San Miguel 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Club Atletico Guemes vs San Miguel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Atletico Guemes edged past San Miguel 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Club Atletico Guemes as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Club Atletico Guemes and 0.67 for San Miguel.

What was the final score of Club Atletico Guemes vs San Miguel?

Club Atletico Guemes 1-0 San Miguel in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Atletico Guemes vs San Miguel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Atletico Guemes win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Club Atletico Guemes 44%, draw 34%, San Miguel 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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