Deportivo Moron 3-0 Club Atletico Mitre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.75
No
58%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
57%
+6.3pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.5pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
32%
+9.9pp
58%
BTTS No
68%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Mitre EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.45/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.02
+9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Moron
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Club Atletico Mitre
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
25.05.2025 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
22.09.2024 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-2 HT 0-2 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre ARJPBN
04.05.2024 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
18.09.2022 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Moron vs Club Atletico Mitre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Moron cruised past Club Atletico Mitre 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Moron as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Moron and 0.50 for Club Atletico Mitre.

What was the final score of Deportivo Moron vs Club Atletico Mitre?

Deportivo Moron 3-0 Club Atletico Mitre in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Moron vs Club Atletico Mitre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Moron win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Moron 63%, draw 21%, Club Atletico Mitre 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Moron), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Moron) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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