Tlaxcala 3-3 CA La Paz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 28 Sep 2025

Tlaxcala
3 - 3 HT 1 - 0
CA La Paz
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2025/2026

Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.99
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
28%
3.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.17
Over Pick
62%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
42%
4-5
29%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Tlaxcala v CA La Paz — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Tlaxcala The Market 50%
Signal
AWAY CA La Paz The Market 33%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.62 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.32
1.44 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.10
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Bad
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CA La Paz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
11.01.2025 CA La Paz CA La Paz 4-4 HT 2-1 Tlaxcala Tlaxcala MEK2
28.07.2024 Tlaxcala Tlaxcala 0-2 HT 0-2 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
17.02.2024 Tlaxcala Tlaxcala 2-3 HT 0-2 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
27.09.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-0 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala Tlaxcala MEK2
05.04.2023 Tlaxcala Tlaxcala 1-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
10.08.2022 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-2 HT 1-1 Tlaxcala Tlaxcala MEK2
REVIEW Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Tlaxcala and CA La Paz finished all square at 3-3. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

We leaned Tlaxcala at 48% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) came home.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA La Paz led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tlaxcala and 2.00 for CA La Paz.

Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz Result & Final Score

Tlaxcala 3 - 3 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Tlaxcala win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 48%, draw 24%, CA La Paz 28%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tlaxcala) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tlaxcala) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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