Sogndal 2-2 Kongsvinger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2025

Sogndal
2-2 HT 0-1
Kongsvinger
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2026

Sogndal vs Kongsvinger Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.75
2-3 Goals
35%
2.02
4-5 Goals
30%
2.45
6+ Goals
12%
5.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+5.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.2pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sogndal v Kongsvinger — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sogndal EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 45%
-11% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.26/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.50
-14% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
208 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Sogndal vs Kongsvinger Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sogndal
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kongsvinger
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.06.2025 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 4-2 HT 3-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
07.05.2025 Sogndal Sogndal 3-3 HT 1-2 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOK
02.11.2024 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 0-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
22.06.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 2-0 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
19.08.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 3-3 HT 0-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
29.05.2023 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-0 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
POST-MATCH Sogndal vs Kongsvinger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sogndal and Kongsvinger couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sogndal and 1.83 for Kongsvinger.

What was the final score of Sogndal vs Kongsvinger?

Sogndal 2-2 Kongsvinger in the Norway - 1st Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sogndal vs Kongsvinger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sogndal win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sogndal 40%, draw 25%, Kongsvinger 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sogndal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sogndal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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