Universitario vs Cusco FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Universitario v Cusco FC — Team-Based Signals
Universitario vs Cusco FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Universitario
PER
1-0
HT 1-0
Cusco FC
PER
2-1
HT 0-0
Cusco FC
PER
Universitario 3-2 Cusco FC — Actual Match Statistics
Universitario nicked a narrow win over Cusco FC 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Universitario had 42% of the ball to Cusco FC's 58%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.84 to 1.09 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Universitario's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Universitario and 0.83 for Cusco FC.
What was the final score of Universitario vs Cusco FC?
Universitario 3-2 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Universitario vs Cusco FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Universitario 65%, draw 20%, Cusco FC 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario) — while BTTS No went the other way.