Famalicao 0-0 Rio Ave — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.47/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.45
-5% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
24.1 Crosses 14.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Rio Ave
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.34 xG 1.32
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
310 Passes 354
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.03.2025 Famalicao Famalicao 1-0 HT 1-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
04.10.2024 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-1 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
16.02.2024 Famalicao Famalicao 2-1 HT 1-1 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
16.09.2023 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-1 HT 0-1 Famalicao Famalicao POR
26.05.2023 Rio Ave Rio Ave 2-2 HT 0-2 Famalicao Famalicao POR
22.01.2023 Famalicao Famalicao 0-0 HT 0-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao
0-0
AWAY Rio Ave
2.42 xG 0.49
58% Ball Possession 42%
28 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 6
405 Passes 277
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
54 Box Touches 9
32 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Famalicao vs Rio Ave
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao and Rio Ave played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Famalicao at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Famalicao had 58% of the ball to Rio Ave's 42%, shots finished 28-5, expected goals 2.42 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Famalicao had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Famalicao and 0.83 for Rio Ave.

What was the final score of Famalicao vs Rio Ave?

Famalicao 0-0 Rio Ave in the Portugal - Premier League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao vs Rio Ave?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Famalicao 52%, draw 28%, Rio Ave 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Famalicao), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Famalicao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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